The Impact of the Abraham Agreement Plan on Resistance -Based Security in the West Asian Region during the Trump Presidential Period

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Corresponding Author: PhD in International Relations, Faculty of Humanities, University of Guilan, Guilan, Iran

2 MA in Psychology and Educational Sciences, Islamic Azad University, Tehran North, Tehran, Iran

3 Master of International Relations Graduate, Malek Ashtar University, Tehran

Abstract

The hallmark of developments in West Asia is dynamism and transformation, as well as regional complexity, ambiguity, and turmoil. The Trump Century deal and its subsequent trends, including the normalization of the UAE's relations with the Zionist regime, have exacerbated this situation. Recognizing Israel's sovereignty over Jerusalem, the Century Deal Plan allows the regime to annex 30 percent of the West Bank and, while recognizing a minimal presence, restrict Palestine's right to build an army and access to the sea. . The geography of Trump and Netanyahu's mental model corresponds to the geopolitical dimension of the resistance axis. Politicians such as Mohammed bin Zayed and Mohammed bin Salman have also charted their approach in such a model and aspire to define their regional ambitions in the context of the future security and political order of West Asia. This has several consequences for the axis of resistance. In this regard, the main question of the present article is; what are the effects and consequences of the Century Deal Plan on the security of the resistance-oriented regions? The present article is descriptive-analytical and the required information is collected by library method and referring to valid internet sources. The findings of the article based on the interpretation of security and descriptive -analytical method show that the security -intelligence consequences of such a situation on Iran's regional security and the axis of resistance can be in the form of intensification of security equation in the Persian Gulf, marine coalition against Iran, increased arms race Increasing the spy on the axis of resistance and finally, disrupting the balance of powers in the Persian Gulf.

Keywords

Smiley face

References

پیرمحمدی، سعید (1400)، گسترش روند سازش به حوزه اقتصادی؛ خط لوله آسیا ـ اروپا؛ اتصال ژئواستراتژیک خلیج فارس به حوزه مدیترانه، تارنمای پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی، قابل دسترسی در https://csr.ir/fa/news/1259.
پیرمحمدی، سعید (1400)، تحولات اردن به کدام سو می‌رود؟ کودتا یا گوشمالی عبدالله دوم در اردن، تارنمای پژوهشکده تحقیقات راهبردی، قابل دسترسی در https://csr.ir/fa/news/1353/.
داداندیش، پروین؛ کوزه‌‌گر کالجی، ولی (1389)، بررسی انتقادی نظریه مجموعه امنیتی منطقه‌‌ای با استفاده از محیط امنیتی منطقه قفقاز جنوبی، فصل‌نامه راهبرد، سال نوزدهم، شماره 56.
دهشیری، محمدرضا؛ حسینی، سیدمحمد؛ شیراوند، صارم؛ حسینی، سیدمصطفی (1396)، تأثیر امنیت منطقه‌‌ای بر رفتارشناختی مجموعه‌‌های امنیتی مناطق، فصل‌نامه سیاست جهانی، دوره ششم، شماره 1.
صدری، محمود؛ قندریز، علیرضا (1399)، نمایش فصل؛ نگاهی به توافق‌نامه رژیم صهیونیستی و امارات، بی‌‌بی‌‌سی فارسی، https://www.bbc.com/persian/blog-viewpoints-53809724.
طباطبایی، سیدمحمد؛ فتحی، محمدجواد (1393)، تحول مفهوم امنیت در ناتو پس از جنگ سرد براساس مکتب کپنهاگ، فصل‌نامه مطالعات راهبردی جهانی‌‌شدن، سال پنجم، شماره 14.
یورونیوز (2019)، اسراییل در کنار آمریکا وارد خلیج‌‌فارس می‌‌شود، قابل دسترسی در: https://per.euronews.com/2019/08/07/israel-enters-the-persian-gulf-along-with-the-us
Abo Rezeg, Ali (2020), Israel-UAE spy base on Socotra targets Iran, China, Pakistan; UAE, Israel are working to establish a spy base in Yemeni Island of Socotra, Anadolu Agency.
Akbari, Arash (2021), The Abraham Accord, Iran, and The Geopolitics of the Persian Gulf, Russian Council.
Aljazeera (2021), Israel holds largest-ever military drill with UAE participation, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/10/25/israel-holds-largest-ever-military-drill-with-uae-participation
Azodi, Sina (2020), Why is Iran concerned about the peace agreement between the UAE and Israel? Atlantic Council.
Bahrain News Agency, (2020), Interior Minister: if Palestine is our Arab cause, then Bahrain is our fateful cause, https://www.bna.bh/en/InteriorMinisterifPalestineisourArabcausethenBahrainisourfatefulcause.aspx?cms=q8FmFJgiscL2fwIzON1%2BDlAnAZKW2r0zeK590omyHIY%3D
Barrington, Lisa and Williams, Dan (2020), UAE, Israeli ministers pledge defence cooperation, Reuters.
Burton, Guy (2020), What the Israel-UAE Agreement Means for Asian Powers, The Diplomat.
Caspit, Ben (2021), Bennett’s government at work to expand Abraham Accords, https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/10/bennetts-government-work-expand-abraham-accords#ixzz7ICjRNLOH
Diskaya, Ali (2013), Towards a Critical Securitization Theory: The Copenhagen and Aberystwyth Schools of Security, E-International Relations.
Ferziger, Jonathan H. (2020), Secret Flight Shows Netanyahu and Mohammed bin Salman Joining to Face Biden, Foreign Policy.
Friedman, Brandon (2021), Israeli-Arab Normalizations: An Inflexion Point for the Middle Eastern Politics, Institut Montaigne.
Guzansky, Yoel and Feuer, Sarah (2021), The Abraham Accords at One Year: Achievements, Challenges, and Recommendations for Israel, Institute for National Security Studies (INSS).
Hafezi, Parisa (2020), Iran's response to Israel-UAE pact: tough rhetoric, no action, Reuters.
Halbfinger, David and Ronen Bergman (2020), Shifting Dynamics of the Mideast Pushed Israel and U.A.E. Together, The New York Times.
Loyola, Mario (2020), Trump’s Middle East Triumph, National Review.
Mazzetti, Mark; Wong, Edward and LaForgia, Michael (2020), Netanyahu Privately Condoned U.S. Plan to Sell Arms to U.A.E., Officials Say, The New York Times.
Middle East Monitor, (2020), Yemen's remaining Jews to be transferred to UAE following Israel deal, https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20200817-yemens-remaining-jews-to-be-transferred-to-uae-following-israel-deal/
Middle East Monitor, (2021), Red Sea drill by US, Israel, UAE, Bahrain a message to Iran, https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20211113-red-sea-drill-by-us-israel-uae-bahrain-a-message-to-iran/
Musmar, Frank (2021), The Old Peace Treaties vs. the Abraham Accords, The Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies.
Pamuk, Humeyra and Lewis, Simon (2021), U.S. hopes Abraham Accords will help Israeli-Palestinian issue – officials, Reuters.
Rafi Khan, Muhammad and Mehmood Shahzad, Sajid (2021), The Abraham Accords: Israel resizing Spheres of Influence, JRSP, Vol. 58, No. 2.
Simon, Steven (2021), Israel and the Persian Gulf: A Source of Security or Conflict? The Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.
Staff, MEE (2020), Confusion over Hezbollah spat leaves Israelis questioning their military, Middle East Eye.
Stephens, Michael (2020), The Abraham Accords: The View from the Gulf, The Foreign Policy Research Institute.
The White House, (2021), At the One Year Anniversary of the Abraham Accords: Normalization Agreements in Action, https://www.state.gov/at-the-one-year-anniversary-of-the-abraham-accords-normalization-agreements-in-action/
Túlio Lara, Marco (2020), Will Saudi Arabia Be Next to Normalize Relations with Israel? National Interest.
U.S. Department of The Treasury (2018), United States and United Arab Emirates Disrupt Large Scale Currency Exchange Network Transferring Millions of Dollars to the IRGC-QF, https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm0383
Vonderhaar, Lora (2020), The Abraham Accords: A Peace Deal in Name Only, Georgetown Security Studies Review.
Wolf, Albert (2020), The UAE-Israel Agreement Isn’t All It’s Cracked Up to Be, Foreign Policy.
Yossef, Amr (2021), The Regional Impact of the Abraham Accords, MWI Report, No. 2.
Security Horizons
Volume 15, Issue 54
Spring Quarterly
May 2022
Pages 69-91

Files

History

  • Receive Date: 14 November 2021
  • Revise Date: 06 March 2022
  • Accept Date: 06 March 2022
  • Publish Date: 22 May 2022

Share

How to cite

Statistics